probability

noun

prob·​a·​bil·​i·​ty ˌprä-bə-ˈbi-lə-tē How to pronounce probability (audio)
plural probabilities
1
a(1)
: the chance that a given event will occur
(2)
: the ratio of the number of outcomes in an exhaustive set of equally likely outcomes that produce a given event to the total number of possible outcomes
b
: a branch of mathematics concerned with the study of probabilities
2
: something (such as an event or circumstance) that is probable
3
: the quality or state of being probable
4
: a logical relation between statements such that evidence confirming one confirms the other to some degree

Examples of probability in a Sentence

There is a low probability that you will be chosen. There is some probability of rain tomorrow. With the dark clouds moving in, rain seems more like a probability than a possibility. The probability of a coin coming up heads is one out of every two tries.
Recent Examples on the Web
Examples are automatically compiled from online sources to show current usage. Read More Opinions expressed in the examples do not represent those of Merriam-Webster or its editors. Send us feedback.
Temperatures have about a 30% chance of falling below freezing overnight Friday along Interstate 70, with probabilities increasing towards 80% near the Iowa border, the weather service said. Robert A. Cronkleton, Kansas City Star, 3 Feb. 2025 While the identification has triggered international planetary defense measures, experts say that further observations of the asteroid might drop the impact probability down to zero. Margherita Bassi, Smithsonian Magazine, 31 Jan. 2025 It was initially thought to have a 2.7% chance of hitting Earth in 2029, but that probability was later downgraded. Scott Neuman, NPR, 2 Feb. 2025 Entering Friday’s games, the Rangers were five points back of the second wild-card spot in the Eastern Conference, with The Athletic’s playoff probabilities model giving them about a 36 percent chance of qualifying for the playoffs. Thomas Drance, The Athletic, 1 Feb. 2025 See all Example Sentences for probability 

Word History

First Known Use

15th century, in the meaning defined at sense 3

Time Traveler
The first known use of probability was in the 15th century

Dictionary Entries Near probability

Cite this Entry

“Probability.” Merriam-Webster.com Dictionary, Merriam-Webster, https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/probability. Accessed 10 Feb. 2025.

Kids Definition

probability

noun
prob·​a·​bil·​i·​ty ˌpräb-ə-ˈbil-ət-ē How to pronounce probability (audio)
plural probabilities
1
: the quality or state of being probable
2
: something probable
3
a
: a measure of how often a particular event will happen if something which results in any of a number of possible events is done repeatedly
the probability of a coin coming up heads is ½
b
: a branch of mathematics concerned with the study of probabilities

More from Merriam-Webster on probability

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